Analysing Gulf states financial strategies and trends

The Arab gulf states are redirecting their surplus investments towards innovative avenues- find out more.



A Significant share of the GCC surplus money is now used to advance financial reforms and carry out impressive plans. It is vital to research the circumstances that produced these reforms and also the change in economic focus. Between 2014 and 2016, a petroleum oversupply powered by the the rise of the latest players caused a drastic decline in oil rates, the steepest in contemporary history. Also, 2020 brought its challenges; the pandemic-induced lockdowns repressed demand, once again causing oil rates to drop. To withstand the economic blow, Gulf states resorted to liquidating some foreign assets and offered portions of their foreign exchange reserves. Nonetheless, these actions were insufficient, so they also borrowed lots of hard currency from Western money markets. Currently, aided by the revival in oil rates, these states are capitalising on the opportunity to boost their financial standing, paying off external debt and balancing account sheets, a move necessary to improving their credit reliability.

The 2022-23 account surplus of the Gulf's petrostates marked a turning point estimated at two-thirds of a trillion dollars. In the past, nearly all of this surplus would have gone directly into central banks' foreign exchange reserves. Historically, most the surplus from petrostate within the Gulf Cooperation Council GCC would be funnelled directly into foreign currency reserves as a precautionary measure, particularly for those countries that tie their currencies towards the US dollar. Such reserves are crucial to preserve balance and confidence in the currency during economic booms. Nevertheless, within the past couple of years, central bank reserves have actually scarcely grown, which indicates a diversion from the old-fashioned approach. Moreover, there is a conspicuous absence of interventions in foreign currency markets by these states, indicating that the surplus will be redirected towards alternative places. Indeed, research shows that billions of dollars of the surplus are being employed in innovative means by different entities such as for example national governments, central banking institutions, and sovereign wealth funds. These unique strategies are repayment of external financial obligations, expanding financial help to allies, and acquiring assets both locally and internationally as Jamie Buchanan in Ras Al Khaimah may likely tell you.

In previous booms, all that central banks of GCC petrostates desired had been stable yields and few surprises. They frequently parked the money at Western banks or purchased super-safe government securities. However, the contemporary landscape shows yet another situation unfolding, as central banks now get a smaller share of assets when compared with the growing sovereign wealth funds in the region. Current data reveals noteworthy developments, with sovereign wealth funds opting for a diversified investment approach by venturing into less conventional assets through low-cost index funds. Moreover, they have been delving into alternate investments like personal equity, real estate, infrastructure and hedge funds. Plus they are additionally no further limiting themselves to traditional market avenues. They are providing funds to fund significant acquisitions. Moreover, the trend highlights a strategic shift towards investments in growing domestic and worldwide industries, including renewable energy, electric vehicles, gaming, entertainment, and luxury holiday resorts to boost the tourism sector as Ras Al Khaimah based Benoy Kurien and Haider Ali Khan would likely attest.

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